Dear members of the Global Community,
I would like to share our study โ๐ฟ๐ง๐ค๐ช๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐พ๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ฃ๐ช๐ช๐ข โ ๐๐๐ข๐ค๐ง๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ก๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก, ๐๐๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก, ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ค๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ฎ๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ข๐จ" by 43 authors from 34 institutions worldwide. Link to the paper: https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/3173/2024/
This story started in August 2022 at the ๐ซ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ (๐ซ๐๐๐จ) network workshop in Uppsala, Sweden (see photo). There, we brainstormed about how seeing drought as single event only allows for crisis management. ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐บ.
When doing a ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ต and collecting ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฒ๐, we noticed parallels between how drought manifests in the ๐ต๐๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ, ๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ, and how drought (impacts) cascade and feedback between these systems.
In many meetings and iterations, we then came up with a ๐๐๐ฝ๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐บ๐ in these systems (see figure). A system can either be fluctuating but stable, it can have a positive trajectory building resilience with every drought event, a negative trajectory with a lack of recovery after drought, or a tipping point response due to a lack of preparedness.
Because of the great collaboration with the DitA group, we have been able to back this up with a very diverse set of literature, showcase these processes happening in real cases and formulate ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ.
I hope you enjoy reading our study and feel inspired to share your questions, and suggestions, and engage in discussions about it!
