This is an interesting article. Some people have the instinct that Pacific islands should have enough water due to their location (central in the ocean), but actually they also suffer from drought. This suggests that drought is indeed global and can affect all countries.
https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/9/172
Drought Monitoring to Build Climate Resilience in Pacific Island Countries
by Samuel Marcus, Andrew B. Watkins, andYuriy Kuleshov
Climate 2025, 13(9), 172; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090172
Submission received: 21 July 2025 / Revised: 20 August 2025 / Accepted: 22 August 2025 / Published: 26 August 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Global Warming and Extreme Drought)
Abstract: Drought is a complex and impactful natural hazard, with sometimes catastrophic impacts on small or subsistence agriculture and water security. In Pacific Island countries, there lacks an agreed approach for monitoring agricultural drought hazard with satellite-derived remote sensing data. This study addresses this gap through a framework for agricultural drought monitoring in the Pacific using freely available space-based observations. Applying World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) recommendations and a set of objective selection criteria, three remotely sensed drought indicators were chosen and combined using fuzzy logic to form a composite drought hazard index: the Standardised Precipitation Index, Soil Water Index, and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index. Each indicator represents a subsequential flow-on effect of drought on agriculture. The index classes geographic areas as low, medium, high, or very high levels of drought hazard. To test the drought hazard index, two case studies for drought in the western Pacific, Papua New Guinea (PNG), and Vanuatu, are assessed for the 2015–2016 El Niño-related drought. Findings showed that at the height of the drought in October 2015, 58% of PNG and 72% of Vanuatu showed very high drought hazard, compared to 6% and 40%, respectively, at the beginning of the drought. The hazard levels calculated were consistent with conditions observed and events that were reported during the emergency drought period. Application of this framework to operational drought monitoring will promote adaptive capacity and improve resilience to future droughts for Pacific communities.
